Rolling Returns
NTPC Ltd.
Every 15-year stretch NTPC has been through — 61 of them, each starting a month after the last. The median returned 8.2% a year, the worst 1.7%, the best 10.7%. A single headline CAGR hides all of that.
Every Holding Period
A rolling window is every possible start date, not one. A five-year window starting in January is a different investment from one starting in February, and over twenty years there are a couple of hundred of them. What follows is the full spread of what each holding period actually produced.
Across 229 separate 1-year holding periods, the median returned 4.6% a year. The worst lost 39.9% a year and the best made 118.3%.
Worst start: October 2007 — -39.9% a year for the 1 years that followed.
Best start: April 2023 — 118.3% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 42.4% of the 229 windows both series cover.
Across 205 separate 3-year holding periods, the median returned 5.2% a year. The worst lost 13.4% a year and the best made 60.9%.
Worst start: October 2017 — -13.4% a year for the 3 years that followed.
Best start: January 2021 — 60.9% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 31.7% of the 205 windows both series cover.
Across 181 separate 5-year holding periods, the median returned 3.6% a year. The worst lost 7.9% a year and the best made 39.5%.
Worst start: September 2010 — -7.9% a year for the 5 years that followed.
Best start: March 2020 — 39.5% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 26.0% of the 181 windows both series cover.
Across 157 separate 7-year holding periods, the median returned 2.7% a year. The worst lost 5.2% a year and the best made 23.0%.
Worst start: December 2007 — -5.2% a year for the 7 years that followed.
Best start: February 2019 — 23.0% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 22.9% of the 157 windows both series cover.
Across 121 separate 10-year holding periods, the median returned 3.8% a year. The worst lost 4.3% a year and the best made 18.6%.
Worst start: September 2010 — -4.3% a year for the 10 years that followed.
Best start: February 2016 — 18.6% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 27.3% of the 121 windows both series cover.
Across 61 separate 15-year holding periods, the median returned 8.2% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 1.7% a year.
Worst start: December 2007 — 1.7% a year for the 15 years that followed.
Best start: May 2011 — 10.7% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: NTPC came out ahead in 0.0% of the 61 windows both series cover.
Windows step forward one month at a time and are measured on month-end adjusted closing prices, so dividends are treated as reinvested. Overlapping windows share months by construction — that is what makes the spread a description of this stock's history rather than a sample of independent trials.
Against The Index
Beating an index once is a result. Beating it across most of the periods an investor could have picked is a pattern. Over 15-year windows, NTPC finished ahead of the Nifty 500 in 0.0% of the 61 periods both series cover.
1-year windows
Ahead in 42.4% of 229 periods.
3-year windows
Ahead in 31.7% of 205 periods.
5-year windows
Ahead in 26.0% of 181 periods.
7-year windows
Ahead in 22.9% of 157 periods.
10-year windows
Ahead in 27.3% of 121 periods.
15-year windows
Ahead in 0.0% of 61 periods.
Each window is compared against the index over the identical calendar months, on the same adjusted basis — not against an assumed rate of return.
How This Is Calculated
Windows step forward one month at a time, so they share most of their months with each other. That is what makes this a description of NTPC's actual history rather than a set of independent trials — and why the spread should not be read as a probability.
Measured on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and splits, so dividends count as reinvested. A window that opened or closed mid-month would differ a little in either direction.
NTPCis in today's Nifty 500 universe. Companies that delisted or collapsed are not on this site at all, so the worst outcome shown here is the worst among the survivors.
Measured on data to 2026-08-31, from 2006-08-01. Full definitions are on our methodology page.
HELP CENTER
Everything you need to know about this page and the data presented.
Over 15 years, NTPC Ltd. has been through 61 separate 15 years holding periods — one starting every month. The median returned 8.2% a year, the worst 1.7% and the best 10.7%. A rolling return measures every possible start date instead of one, which is why it answers a question a single headline CAGR cannot: how much the outcome depended on when you happened to buy.
Yes. 21.5% of the 121 10 years periods on record ended below where they started, and the worst of them lost 4.3% a year — the stretch beginning September 2010. The median period returned 3.8% a year.
-7.9% a year, for the five years beginning September 2010. For contrast the best 5 years returned 39.5% a year, starting March 2020, and the median across all 181 periods was 3.6%. The gap between those two numbers is the part of the outcome that came down to timing rather than to the company.
On this record, yes. 1 year outcomes ranged from -39.9% to 118.3% a year — a spread of 158.2%. 15 years outcomes ranged from 1.7% to 10.7%, a spread of 9.0%. Longer holding periods narrowed the range of results, which is the usual pattern and the reason this page publishes every window rather than one. Narrowing the range is not the same as removing the risk.
In 0.0% of the 61 15 years periods both series cover. Each window is compared against the index over the identical months, not against an assumed index return, so the comparison is a like-for-like record rather than a model.
Windows step forward one month at a time on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and stock splits, so dividends are treated as reinvested. A window length is only published once there are at least twelve complete windows behind it — fewer than that describes an anecdote, not a distribution. Overlapping windows share months by construction, which is what makes this a description of the actual history of NTPC Ltd. rather than a sample of independent trials. Companies that delisted are not on this site at all, a survivorship bias worth holding in mind.
That is not a question this page answers, and we do not make recommendations. What it can show you is the full range of what every holding period in the listed history of NTPC Ltd. actually produced — including the worst ones, which most performance figures leave out. Those are records of what happened, not forecasts. A stock that never had a losing decade may still have one, and holding a single company is a materially different risk from holding an index.
Explore Further
NTPC drawdowns and all-time high
The worst fall on record, how long recovery took, and how far the price sits below its peak.
NTPC SIP returns
What a monthly investment would have produced, backtested rather than assumed.
NTPC overview
Price history, wealth journey and how it compares with the index.
Rolling returns for every stock
Run the same question against any company we track.
ReturnScreener is an educational research platform and is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. Everything on this page is a record of what historical prices did, not a projection and not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our methodology and disclaimer.