LEMONTREE Rolling Returns

Over 7 years, Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. has been through 17 separate 7 years holding periods — one starting every month. The median returned 9.2% a year, the worst 3.2% and the best 13.2%. A rolling return measures every possible start date instead of one, which is why it answers a question a single headline CAGR cannot: how much the outcome depended on when you happened to buy.

No — not in any of the 17 7 years periods the record covers. The weakest of them still compounded at 3.2% a year. That is a statement about the past, not a guarantee about any future 7 years, and it is measured only over the years Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. has been listed.

3.1% a year, for the five years beginning April 2018. For contrast the best 5 years returned 50.7% a year, starting April 2020, and the median across all 41 periods was 19.9%. The gap between those two numbers is the part of the outcome that came down to timing rather than to the company.

On this record, yes. 1 year outcomes ranged from -76.5% to 132.2% a year — a spread of 208.8%. 7 years outcomes ranged from 3.2% to 13.2%, a spread of 10.1%. Longer holding periods narrowed the range of results, which is the usual pattern and the reason this page publishes every window rather than one. Narrowing the range is not the same as removing the risk.

In 11.8% of the 17 7 years periods both series cover. Each window is compared against the index over the identical months, not against an assumed index return, so the comparison is a like-for-like record rather than a model.

Windows step forward one month at a time on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and stock splits, so dividends are treated as reinvested. A window length is only published once there are at least twelve complete windows behind it — fewer than that describes an anecdote, not a distribution. Overlapping windows share months by construction, which is what makes this a description of the actual history of Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. rather than a sample of independent trials. Companies that delisted are not on this site at all, a survivorship bias worth holding in mind.

That is not a question this page answers, and we do not make recommendations. What it can show you is the full range of what every holding period in the listed history of Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. actually produced — including the worst ones, which most performance figures leave out. Those are records of what happened, not forecasts. A stock that never had a losing decade may still have one, and holding a single company is a materially different risk from holding an index.