ReturnScreener

Rolling Returns

ITC Rolling Returns

ITC Ltd.

Every 15-year stretch ITC has been through — 61 of them, each starting a month after the last. The median returned 14.9% a year, the worst 8.3%, the best 18.4%. A single headline CAGR hides all of that.

Windows measured
61
Median
14.9%
Worst
8.3%
Best
18.4%

Every Holding Period

ITC rolling returns by holding period

A rolling window is every possible start date, not one. A five-year window starting in January is a different investment from one starting in February, and over twenty years there are a couple of hundred of them. What follows is the full spread of what each holding period actually produced.

1-year rolling returns

73.8% of windows made money

Across 229 separate 1-year holding periods, the median returned 13.8% a year. The worst lost 41.6% a year and the best made 81.7%.

-41.6%median 13.8%81.7%
Worst window
-41.6%
25th percentile
-2.7%
75th percentile
34.4%
Best window
81.7%

Worst start: March 2019-41.6% a year for the 1 years that followed.

Best start: February 202281.7% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 48.9% of the 229 windows both series cover.

3-year rolling returns

82.4% of windows made money

Across 205 separate 3-year holding periods, the median returned 14.2% a year. The worst lost 14.5% a year and the best made 44.2%.

-14.5%median 14.2%44.2%
Worst window
-14.5%
25th percentile
4.4%
75th percentile
28.6%
Best window
44.2%

Worst start: June 2017-14.5% a year for the 3 years that followed.

Best start: June 200944.2% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 52.2% of the 205 windows both series cover.

5-year rolling returns

94.5% of windows made money

Across 181 separate 5-year holding periods, the median returned 14.4% a year. The worst lost 3.6% a year and the best made 37.1%.

-3.6%median 14.4%37.1%
Worst window
-3.6%
25th percentile
7.1%
75th percentile
22.1%
Best window
37.1%

Worst start: February 2015-3.6% a year for the 5 years that followed.

Best start: October 200837.1% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 54.1% of the 181 windows both series cover.

7-year rolling returns

96.8% of windows made money

Across 157 separate 7-year holding periods, the median returned 12.4% a year. The worst lost 1.8% a year and the best made 27.5%.

-1.8%median 12.4%27.5%
Worst window
-1.8%
25th percentile
6.9%
75th percentile
20.3%
Best window
27.5%

Worst start: October 2013-1.8% a year for the 7 years that followed.

Best start: March 200727.5% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 46.5% of the 157 windows both series cover.

10-year rolling returns

100.0% of windows made money

Across 121 separate 10-year holding periods, the median returned 10.6% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 4.3% a year.

4.3%median 10.6%23.1%
Worst window
4.3%
25th percentile
8.8%
75th percentile
16.9%
Best window
23.1%

Worst start: August 20164.3% a year for the 10 years that followed.

Best start: June 200723.1% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 40.5% of the 121 windows both series cover.

15-year rolling returns

100.0% of windows made money

Across 61 separate 15-year holding periods, the median returned 14.9% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 8.3% a year.

8.3%median 14.9%18.4%
Worst window
8.3%
25th percentile
12.1%
75th percentile
16.3%
Best window
18.4%

Worst start: August 20118.3% a year for the 15 years that followed.

Best start: October 200818.4% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: ITC came out ahead in 85.3% of the 61 windows both series cover.

Windows step forward one month at a time and are measured on month-end adjusted closing prices, so dividends are treated as reinvested. Overlapping windows share months by construction — that is what makes the spread a description of this stock's history rather than a sample of independent trials.

Against The Index

How often ITC beat the Nifty 500

Beating an index once is a result. Beating it across most of the periods an investor could have picked is a pattern. Over 15-year windows, ITC finished ahead of the Nifty 500 in 85.3% of the 61 periods both series cover.

1-year windows

Ahead in 48.9% of 229 periods.

3-year windows

Ahead in 52.2% of 205 periods.

5-year windows

Ahead in 54.1% of 181 periods.

7-year windows

Ahead in 46.5% of 157 periods.

10-year windows

Ahead in 40.5% of 121 periods.

15-year windows

Ahead in 85.3% of 61 periods.

Each window is compared against the index over the identical calendar months, on the same adjusted basis — not against an assumed rate of return.

How This Is Calculated

Reading these figures properly

Overlapping by design

Windows step forward one month at a time, so they share most of their months with each other. That is what makes this a description of ITC's actual history rather than a set of independent trials — and why the spread should not be read as a probability.

Month-end, total return

Measured on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and splits, so dividends count as reinvested. A window that opened or closed mid-month would differ a little in either direction.

Survivors only

ITCis in today's Nifty 500 universe. Companies that delisted or collapsed are not on this site at all, so the worst outcome shown here is the worst among the survivors.

Measured on data to 2026-08-31, from 2006-08-01. Full definitions are on our methodology page.

HELP CENTER

ITC rolling returns — common questions

Everything you need to know about this page and the data presented.

What are ITC rolling returns?
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Over 15 years, ITC Ltd. has been through 61 separate 15 years holding periods — one starting every month. The median returned 14.9% a year, the worst 8.3% and the best 18.4%. A rolling return measures every possible start date instead of one, which is why it answers a question a single headline CAGR cannot: how much the outcome depended on when you happened to buy.

Has ITC ever lost money over 10 years?
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No — not in any of the 121 10 years periods the record covers. The weakest of them still compounded at 4.3% a year. That is a statement about the past, not a guarantee about any future 10 years, and it is measured only over the years ITC Ltd. has been listed.

What is the worst 5 years ITC has ever had?
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-3.6% a year, for the five years beginning February 2015. For contrast the best 5 years returned 37.1% a year, starting October 2008, and the median across all 181 periods was 14.4%. The gap between those two numbers is the part of the outcome that came down to timing rather than to the company.

Does holding ITC for longer reduce the risk?
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On this record, yes. 1 year outcomes ranged from -41.6% to 81.7% a year — a spread of 123.3%. 15 years outcomes ranged from 8.3% to 18.4%, a spread of 10.2%. Longer holding periods narrowed the range of results, which is the usual pattern and the reason this page publishes every window rather than one. Narrowing the range is not the same as removing the risk.

How often has ITC beaten Nifty 500 over 15 years?
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In 85.3% of the 61 15 years periods both series cover. Each window is compared against the index over the identical months, not against an assumed index return, so the comparison is a like-for-like record rather than a model.

How are rolling returns calculated here?
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Windows step forward one month at a time on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and stock splits, so dividends are treated as reinvested. A window length is only published once there are at least twelve complete windows behind it — fewer than that describes an anecdote, not a distribution. Overlapping windows share months by construction, which is what makes this a description of the actual history of ITC Ltd. rather than a sample of independent trials. Companies that delisted are not on this site at all, a survivorship bias worth holding in mind.

Is ITC a safe long-term investment?
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That is not a question this page answers, and we do not make recommendations. What it can show you is the full range of what every holding period in the listed history of ITC Ltd. actually produced — including the worst ones, which most performance figures leave out. Those are records of what happened, not forecasts. A stock that never had a losing decade may still have one, and holding a single company is a materially different risk from holding an index.

Explore Further

More on ITC Ltd.

ReturnScreener is an educational research platform and is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. Everything on this page is a record of what historical prices did, not a projection and not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our methodology and disclaimer.