ReturnScreener

Rolling Returns

FACT Rolling Returns

Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd.

Every 15-year stretch FACT has been through — 61 of them, each starting a month after the last. The median returned 20.9% a year, the worst 9.0%, the best 29.6%. A single headline CAGR hides all of that.

Windows measured
61
Median
20.9%
Worst
9.0%
Best
29.6%

Every Holding Period

FACT rolling returns by holding period

A rolling window is every possible start date, not one. A five-year window starting in January is a different investment from one starting in February, and over twenty years there are a couple of hundred of them. What follows is the full spread of what each holding period actually produced.

1-year rolling returns

59.4% of windows made money

Across 229 separate 1-year holding periods, the median returned 12.2% a year. The worst lost 60.7% a year and the best made 543.0%.

-60.7%median 12.2%543.0%
Worst window
-60.7%
25th percentile
-15.8%
75th percentile
66.1%
Best window
543.0%

Worst start: December 2007-60.7% a year for the 1 years that followed.

Best start: October 2022543.0% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 52.8% of the 229 windows both series cover.

3-year rolling returns

76.1% of windows made money

Across 205 separate 3-year holding periods, the median returned 17.8% a year. The worst lost 28.3% a year and the best made 154.5%.

-28.3%median 17.8%154.5%
Worst window
-28.3%
25th percentile
2.0%
75th percentile
43.4%
Best window
154.5%

Worst start: July 2010-28.3% a year for the 3 years that followed.

Best start: October 2020154.5% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 63.4% of the 205 windows both series cover.

5-year rolling returns

74.0% of windows made money

Across 181 separate 5-year holding periods, the median returned 11.2% a year. The worst lost 17.3% a year and the best made 94.8%.

-17.3%median 11.2%94.8%
Worst window
-17.3%
25th percentile
-0.8%
75th percentile
40.0%
Best window
94.8%

Worst start: August 2010-17.3% a year for the 5 years that followed.

Best start: August 201994.8% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 54.7% of the 181 windows both series cover.

7-year rolling returns

74.5% of windows made money

Across 157 separate 7-year holding periods, the median returned 7.8% a year. The worst lost 10.4% a year and the best made 65.3%.

-10.4%median 7.8%65.3%
Worst window
-10.4%
25th percentile
-0.1%
75th percentile
45.1%
Best window
65.3%

Worst start: January 2010-10.4% a year for the 7 years that followed.

Best start: December 201665.3% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 48.4% of the 157 windows both series cover.

10-year rolling returns

87.6% of windows made money

Across 121 separate 10-year holding periods, the median returned 12.8% a year. The worst lost 4.8% a year and the best made 47.6%.

-4.8%median 12.8%47.6%
Worst window
-4.8%
25th percentile
3.2%
75th percentile
39.4%
Best window
47.6%

Worst start: February 2010-4.8% a year for the 10 years that followed.

Best start: August 201547.6% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 51.2% of the 121 windows both series cover.

15-year rolling returns

100.0% of windows made money

Across 61 separate 15-year holding periods, the median returned 20.9% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 9.0% a year.

9.0%median 20.9%29.6%
Worst window
9.0%
25th percentile
12.9%
75th percentile
23.0%
Best window
29.6%

Worst start: November 20079.0% a year for the 15 years that followed.

Best start: January 200929.6% a year.

Against the Nifty 500: FACT came out ahead in 96.7% of the 61 windows both series cover.

Windows step forward one month at a time and are measured on month-end adjusted closing prices, so dividends are treated as reinvested. Overlapping windows share months by construction — that is what makes the spread a description of this stock's history rather than a sample of independent trials.

Against The Index

How often FACT beat the Nifty 500

Beating an index once is a result. Beating it across most of the periods an investor could have picked is a pattern. Over 15-year windows, FACT finished ahead of the Nifty 500 in 96.7% of the 61 periods both series cover.

1-year windows

Ahead in 52.8% of 229 periods.

3-year windows

Ahead in 63.4% of 205 periods.

5-year windows

Ahead in 54.7% of 181 periods.

7-year windows

Ahead in 48.4% of 157 periods.

10-year windows

Ahead in 51.2% of 121 periods.

15-year windows

Ahead in 96.7% of 61 periods.

Each window is compared against the index over the identical calendar months, on the same adjusted basis — not against an assumed rate of return.

How This Is Calculated

Reading these figures properly

Overlapping by design

Windows step forward one month at a time, so they share most of their months with each other. That is what makes this a description of FACT's actual history rather than a set of independent trials — and why the spread should not be read as a probability.

Month-end, total return

Measured on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and splits, so dividends count as reinvested. A window that opened or closed mid-month would differ a little in either direction.

Survivors only

FACTis in today's Nifty 500 universe. Companies that delisted or collapsed are not on this site at all, so the worst outcome shown here is the worst among the survivors.

Measured on data to 2026-08-31, from 2006-08-01. Full definitions are on our methodology page.

HELP CENTER

FACT rolling returns — common questions

Everything you need to know about this page and the data presented.

What are FACT rolling returns?
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Over 15 years, Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd. has been through 61 separate 15 years holding periods — one starting every month. The median returned 20.9% a year, the worst 9.0% and the best 29.6%. A rolling return measures every possible start date instead of one, which is why it answers a question a single headline CAGR cannot: how much the outcome depended on when you happened to buy.

Has FACT ever lost money over 10 years?
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Yes. 12.4% of the 121 10 years periods on record ended below where they started, and the worst of them lost 4.8% a year — the stretch beginning February 2010. The median period returned 12.8% a year.

What is the worst 5 years FACT has ever had?
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-17.3% a year, for the five years beginning August 2010. For contrast the best 5 years returned 94.8% a year, starting August 2019, and the median across all 181 periods was 11.2%. The gap between those two numbers is the part of the outcome that came down to timing rather than to the company.

Does holding FACT for longer reduce the risk?
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On this record, yes. 1 year outcomes ranged from -60.7% to 543.0% a year — a spread of 603.7%. 15 years outcomes ranged from 9.0% to 29.6%, a spread of 20.6%. Longer holding periods narrowed the range of results, which is the usual pattern and the reason this page publishes every window rather than one. Narrowing the range is not the same as removing the risk.

How often has FACT beaten Nifty 500 over 15 years?
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In 96.7% of the 61 15 years periods both series cover. Each window is compared against the index over the identical months, not against an assumed index return, so the comparison is a like-for-like record rather than a model.

How are rolling returns calculated here?
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Windows step forward one month at a time on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and stock splits, so dividends are treated as reinvested. A window length is only published once there are at least twelve complete windows behind it — fewer than that describes an anecdote, not a distribution. Overlapping windows share months by construction, which is what makes this a description of the actual history of Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd. rather than a sample of independent trials. Companies that delisted are not on this site at all, a survivorship bias worth holding in mind.

Is FACT a safe long-term investment?
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That is not a question this page answers, and we do not make recommendations. What it can show you is the full range of what every holding period in the listed history of Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd. actually produced — including the worst ones, which most performance figures leave out. Those are records of what happened, not forecasts. A stock that never had a losing decade may still have one, and holding a single company is a materially different risk from holding an index.

Explore Further

More on Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore Ltd.

ReturnScreener is an educational research platform and is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. Everything on this page is a record of what historical prices did, not a projection and not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our methodology and disclaimer.