Rolling Returns
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
Every 15-year stretch BPCL has been through — 61 of them, each starting a month after the last. The median returned 18.3% a year, the worst 14.0%, the best 21.6%. A single headline CAGR hides all of that.
Every Holding Period
A rolling window is every possible start date, not one. A five-year window starting in January is a different investment from one starting in February, and over twenty years there are a couple of hundred of them. What follows is the full spread of what each holding period actually produced.
Across 229 separate 1-year holding periods, the median returned 16.6% a year. The worst lost 46.5% a year and the best made 164.4%.
Worst start: October 2017 — -46.5% a year for the 1 years that followed.
Best start: August 2013 — 164.4% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 63.3% of the 229 windows both series cover.
Across 205 separate 3-year holding periods, the median returned 18.1% a year. The worst lost 8.9% a year and the best made 70.9%.
Worst start: August 2010 — -8.9% a year for the 3 years that followed.
Best start: August 2013 — 70.9% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 70.7% of the 205 windows both series cover.
Across 181 separate 5-year holding periods, the median returned 18.0% a year. The worst lost 3.9% a year and the best made 43.6%.
Worst start: October 2017 — -3.9% a year for the 5 years that followed.
Best start: December 2011 — 43.6% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 69.6% of the 181 windows both series cover.
Across 157 separate 7-year holding periods, the median returned 21.0% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 2.8% a year.
Worst start: October 2016 — 2.8% a year for the 7 years that followed.
Best start: June 2008 — 37.0% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 77.1% of the 157 windows both series cover.
Across 121 separate 10-year holding periods, the median returned 20.2% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 11.2% a year.
Worst start: August 2016 — 11.2% a year for the 10 years that followed.
Best start: August 2007 — 29.8% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 96.7% of the 121 windows both series cover.
Across 61 separate 15-year holding periods, the median returned 18.3% a year. Not one of them ended in a loss — the weakest still compounded at 14.0% a year.
Worst start: December 2007 — 14.0% a year for the 15 years that followed.
Best start: March 2009 — 21.6% a year.
Against the Nifty 500: BPCL came out ahead in 100.0% of the 61 windows both series cover.
Windows step forward one month at a time and are measured on month-end adjusted closing prices, so dividends are treated as reinvested. Overlapping windows share months by construction — that is what makes the spread a description of this stock's history rather than a sample of independent trials.
Against The Index
Beating an index once is a result. Beating it across most of the periods an investor could have picked is a pattern. Over 15-year windows, BPCL finished ahead of the Nifty 500 in 100.0% of the 61 periods both series cover.
1-year windows
Ahead in 63.3% of 229 periods.
3-year windows
Ahead in 70.7% of 205 periods.
5-year windows
Ahead in 69.6% of 181 periods.
7-year windows
Ahead in 77.1% of 157 periods.
10-year windows
Ahead in 96.7% of 121 periods.
15-year windows
Ahead in 100.0% of 61 periods.
Each window is compared against the index over the identical calendar months, on the same adjusted basis — not against an assumed rate of return.
How This Is Calculated
Windows step forward one month at a time, so they share most of their months with each other. That is what makes this a description of BPCL's actual history rather than a set of independent trials — and why the spread should not be read as a probability.
Measured on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and splits, so dividends count as reinvested. A window that opened or closed mid-month would differ a little in either direction.
BPCLis in today's Nifty 500 universe. Companies that delisted or collapsed are not on this site at all, so the worst outcome shown here is the worst among the survivors.
Measured on data to 2026-08-31, from 2006-08-01. Full definitions are on our methodology page.
HELP CENTER
Everything you need to know about this page and the data presented.
Over 15 years, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. has been through 61 separate 15 years holding periods — one starting every month. The median returned 18.3% a year, the worst 14.0% and the best 21.6%. A rolling return measures every possible start date instead of one, which is why it answers a question a single headline CAGR cannot: how much the outcome depended on when you happened to buy.
No — not in any of the 121 10 years periods the record covers. The weakest of them still compounded at 11.2% a year. That is a statement about the past, not a guarantee about any future 10 years, and it is measured only over the years Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. has been listed.
-3.9% a year, for the five years beginning October 2017. For contrast the best 5 years returned 43.6% a year, starting December 2011, and the median across all 181 periods was 18.0%. The gap between those two numbers is the part of the outcome that came down to timing rather than to the company.
On this record, yes. 1 year outcomes ranged from -46.5% to 164.4% a year — a spread of 211.0%. 15 years outcomes ranged from 14.0% to 21.6%, a spread of 7.7%. Longer holding periods narrowed the range of results, which is the usual pattern and the reason this page publishes every window rather than one. Narrowing the range is not the same as removing the risk.
In 100.0% of the 61 15 years periods both series cover. Each window is compared against the index over the identical months, not against an assumed index return, so the comparison is a like-for-like record rather than a model.
Windows step forward one month at a time on month-end closing prices adjusted for dividends and stock splits, so dividends are treated as reinvested. A window length is only published once there are at least twelve complete windows behind it — fewer than that describes an anecdote, not a distribution. Overlapping windows share months by construction, which is what makes this a description of the actual history of Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. rather than a sample of independent trials. Companies that delisted are not on this site at all, a survivorship bias worth holding in mind.
That is not a question this page answers, and we do not make recommendations. What it can show you is the full range of what every holding period in the listed history of Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. actually produced — including the worst ones, which most performance figures leave out. Those are records of what happened, not forecasts. A stock that never had a losing decade may still have one, and holding a single company is a materially different risk from holding an index.
Explore Further
BPCL drawdowns and all-time high
The worst fall on record, how long recovery took, and how far the price sits below its peak.
BPCL SIP returns
What a monthly investment would have produced, backtested rather than assumed.
BPCL overview
Price history, wealth journey and how it compares with the index.
Rolling returns for every stock
Run the same question against any company we track.
ReturnScreener is an educational research platform and is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser. Everything on this page is a record of what historical prices did, not a projection and not a recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. See our methodology and disclaimer.